Bitcoin fiel in dieser Woche von etwa $60,000 auf fast $50,000, aber es hat das Interesse des Einzelhandels nicht abgelenkt, laut Robbie Liu von OKEx.

Der Investmentanalyst zitierte eine erneute Kaufaktivität in der Nähe der $50.000-Marke unter Privatanlegern, die durch das steigende Long/Short-Verhältnis und die steigende USDT-Prämie im asiatischen Markt bestätigt wird. Das Long/Short-Verhältnis vergleicht die Gesamtzahl der Nutzer, die Long-Positionen eröffnen, mit denen, die Short-Positionen eröffnen.

Bitcoin kletterte um mehr als 7 Prozent, nachdem er den $50.000-Bereich als Unterstützung getestet hatte.

Bitcoin-Futures-Prämie

Zusätzlich hob er BTCUSD0326 hervor, einen großvolumigen Bitcoin-Futures-Kontrakt, der im Juni ausläuft und jetzt in der Nähe von $56.200 gehandelt wird, etwa 5 Prozent höher als der Bitcoin-Kassakurs. Die Preise neigen dazu, den Geboten der Futures zu folgen.

„Letzten Freitag sprang die Prämie von BTCUSD0625 auf 8%, bevor sie schnell zurückging“, warnte Mr. Liu. „Die Prämie ist jetzt wieder bei 5%, was auf schwache Markterwartungen bezüglich des Preises Ende Juni hindeutet. Da das Verfallsdatum jedoch noch weit entfernt ist, könnte jeder Preisanstieg die Prämie schnell in die Höhe treiben.“

Das Interesse der Privatanleger an Bitcoin stieg mit der anhaltenden De-Risking-Stimmung unter institutionellen Anlegern an. Anzeichen einer wiederauflebenden US-Wirtschaft, steigende Anleiherenditen und eine aufkommende Inflation veranlassten Investoren, sich von den sogenannten Pandemie-Gewinnern, einschließlich Bitcoin, abzuwenden und nach Gelegenheiten in Märkten zu suchen, die während der Coronavirus-Sperre stark gelitten haben.

Infolgedessen schnitten die Sektoren Hersteller, Banken und Einzelhandel besser ab als die Tech-Aktien. Der US-Dollar-Index kletterte ebenfalls nach oben, da die Renditen von Staatsanleihen mit längeren Laufzeiten in die Höhe schnellten.

„Privatanleger haben in den letzten zwei Tagen anscheinend versucht, die Talsohle zu durchschreiten, während Institutionen im Allgemeinen das Risiko reduzieren wollen. 50.000 USDT wird nun zu einem wichtigen Level, das es zu beobachten gilt“, sagte Herr Liu über Bitcoin.

„Die aktuelle ereignisgetriebene Woche endet auf einer schwachen Note mit all dem Verkaufsdruck, der nach der Tesla-Ankündigung einsetzte. Mit dem massiven Verfall von Optionen aus dem Weg geräumt, könnten wir jedoch sehen, dass BTC sich über das Wochenende unabhängiger bewegt“, fügte er hinzu.

Margin-Leihe-Verhältnis

Weitere Unterstützung für die $50.000-Boden-Theorie ergab sich aus der Margin Lending Ratio von Bitcoin. Es ist das Verhältnis zwischen Nutzern, die sich USDT in Dollar leihen, und solchen, die sich BTC im Wert von USDT über einen bestimmten Zeitraum leihen. Typischerweise leihen sich Händler USDT, um Bitcoin zu kaufen, und diejenigen, die BTC kaufen, zielen darauf ab, sie zu shorten.

„Die Margin Lending Ratio hat während des BTC-Retracements auch einen gegenläufigen Anstieg erlebt und ist in den letzten zwei Tagen von etwa 8,5 auf einen Höchststand von 10,5 gestiegen“, sagte Herr Liu.

„Dies zeigt auch, dass Kleinanleger sind zuversichtlich, über den Preis Boden in der Nähe von 50,000 USDT,“ fügte er hinzu.

The price of the first cryptocurrency has fallen below the $30,000 level amid a surge in trading volume (on the Bitstamp exchange).

On the night of January 22, quotes have already collapsed to the level of $28,800, but at the end of the week, the cryptocurrency held the psychologically important mark. But experts have not ruled out a new fall.

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Yong Ju pointed to the „Coinbase index“, which was above 50 during the rise in quotations and dropped below -122 on Friday. In his view, this indicates a sell-off in cryptocurrency by large investors. While previously the head of CryptoQuant was confident that the whales would not allow the price to fall below $30,000 because many invested at close levels, with this value allowed for a deeper fall.

Analysts have also noted a significant decline in the Grayscale Bitcoin Revolution Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) share price premium over the past month, from 38% to values of less than 3%. In their view, this could indicate a sell-off of the bitcoin-based investment vehicle by institutional investors, who are the main buyers of the trust’s securities.

As a reminder, Guggenheim Partners investment director Scott Minerd predicted that the digital gold price would fall to the $20,000 level. In his view, bitcoin has peaked in market value this year, occurring on 8 January.

Prendete il vostro quotidiano, a misura di morso, digerite le notizie relative a criptoasset e blockchain – indagando sulle storie che volano sotto il radar delle notizie criptografiche di oggi.

Notizie bancarie

• L’Ufficio statunitense del Controllore della Valuta (OCC) ha pubblicato oggi la sua regola definitiva per „garantire un accesso equo ai servizi bancari forniti dalle grandi banche nazionali, dalle associazioni federali di risparmio e dalle filiali e agenzie federali delle organizzazioni bancarie estere“. La regola codifica più di un decennio di linee guida OCC affermando che le banche dovrebbero condurre una valutazione del rischio dei singoli clienti, piuttosto che prendere decisioni ad ampio raggio che riguardano intere categorie o classi di clienti, quando forniscono l’accesso ai servizi, al capitale e al credito, secondo l’ufficio. Nel frattempo, Brian P. Brooks si dimette oggi in qualità di Acting Comptroller of the Currency. Il Chief Operating Officer Blake Paulson diventerà il sostituto controllore della valuta.
• L’OCC ha anche annunciato l’approvazione condizionata della conversione di Anchorage Trust Company, una società fiduciaria del Sud Dakota, per diventare Anchorage Digital Bank, National Association. Come riportato, tra gli investitori di Anchorage, che è anche una società istituzionale di cripto custodia, c’è il gigante dei pagamenti Visa.

Notizie sulle borse

• I miliardari Bitcoin Cameron e Tyler Winklevoss hanno detto a Bloomberg che stanno considerando di rendere pubblica la Gemini Trust Co. „Stiamo osservando il mercato e stiamo anche discutendo internamente se ha senso per noi in questo momento. Siamo certamente aperti ad esso“, hanno detto.
• Coinbase ha lanciato Coinbase Asset Hub – un „prodotto snello che consente agli emittenti di elencare i propri asset e di fare affari con Coinbase“. Il prodotto snellirà il processo di quotazione degli asset ed espanderà il numero di servizi offerti agli emittenti di asset digitali, ha detto lo scambio, aggiungendo che „l’obiettivo è un’unica interfaccia a Coinbase per gli emittenti di asset digitali per gestire l’intero ciclo di vita dei loro asset“.
• Lo scambio di crittografia giapponese Coincheck inizierà a trasmettere spot pubblicitari sulle principali stazioni televisive in circa 26 città e regioni giapponesi, compresa la capitale Tokyo. In seguito a un comunicato ufficiale, due spot hanno iniziato ad essere trasmessi sulle reti televisive delle regioni, uno dei quali è caratterizzato da un razzo dall’aspetto simbolico che si prepara al decollo, testimoniato da una folla di spettatori raggiante. L’ultima volta che Coincheck ha iniziato a trasmettere spot televisivi è stato alla fine del 2017, con una serie di spot con il comico Tetsuro Degawa – alla vigilia di un hacker che si è poi rivelato il più grande nella storia della crittografia.
• Un tribunale della Corea del Sud ha condannato l’ex amministratore delegato dell’ormai defunto crypto exchange sudcoreano CoinNest, infliggendo all’ex amministratore delegato dell’azienda una pena detentiva di 18 mesi e multe di oltre 61.000 dollari USA – oltre a due anni di libertà vigilata e altre multe per una precedente condanna per frode. Per Fn News, le ultime misure punitive sono state emesse dopo che l’ex amministratore delegato è stato giudicato colpevole con l’accusa separata di aver accettato una tangente bitcoin (BTC) del valore di 784.000 dollari per aver organizzato la quotazione di un altcoin senza nome indicato dal tribunale come moneta „S“.

Notizie sull’adozione di Crypto

Gemini ha annunciato l’imminente lancio della Gemini Credit Card, una carta di credito che permette ai suoi utenti di guadagnare fino al 3% in bitcoin o altri criptoasset per ogni dollaro speso. La carta sarà disponibile per i residenti negli Stati Uniti, ha detto la società senza fornire ulteriori dettagli sul lancio.

Notizie a catena

La Banca Centrale Russa si prepara a lanciare i suoi primi mutui a catena di blocco, ha riferito l’agenzia di stampa TASS. L’agenzia cita Olga Skorobogatova, il primo vice governatore della banca, affermando che la sua organizzazione è ora in trattative avanzate con il Servizio federale per la registrazione dello Stato (l’agenzia governativa che controlla il registro immobiliare nazionale) e il Ministero dello sviluppo digitale, mentre la banca si avvicina al lancio. Skorobogatova ha affermato che i nuovi mutui digitali fornirebbero soluzioni di finanziamento senza soluzione di continuità per gli acquirenti di immobili nel paese, mentre il paese si avvicina ad un sistema bancario „digitalizzato“.

Notizie sugli investimenti

Titan, uno sviluppatore di software e servizi per l’avanzamento dell’estrazione mineraria Bitcoin su larga scala, ha dichiarato di aver ricevuto un investimento strategico non specificato da Coinbase Ventures come parte del suo attuale round di raccolta fondi per il seed fundraising. Titan prevede di lanciare la beta chiusa di Titan Pool, un pool minerario pronto per l’impresa, questo mese.

A linha de visão da inflação nos Estados Unidos está tudo menos clara depois que o Departamento do Trabalho relata o menor ganho anual do IPC desde 2015. Então, o que isso significa para o bitcoin?

Blockchain Bites: Bitcoin negocia lateralmente enquanto a inflação dos EUA é silenciada
Olá. Os analistas estão relatando projeções sombrias de curto prazo para o bitcoin, enquanto o Departamento do Trabalho dos EUA informa uma inflação atenuada ao longo de 2020. Aqui está a história:

Produtos institucionais

Um novo produto negociado em bolsa de bitcoin (ETP) fisicamente respaldado chegou à bolsa de valores SIX na Suíça. Desenvolvido pelo Grupo ETC, este é o 34º bitcoin ETP no SIX. Enquanto isso, a empresa Gemini Trust, de propriedade da Winklevoss, está apoiando o mais recente pedido de fundo negociado em bolsa bitcoin (ETF) arquivado no Canadá. O bitcoin ETF da Arxnovum Investments poderia ser negociado na Chicago Mercantile Exchange , se aprovado. Os reguladores dos EUA há muito tempo são céticos em relação a esses veículos de investimento de “alto risco”, que muitos apontam como um entrave ao interesse institucional (a propósito, verifique o novo site editorial do Blockwork ).

Parando o ’negócio engraçado‘ do bitco…

A presidente do Banco Central Europeu (BCE), Christine Lagarde, pediu que o bitcoin fosse regulamentado em nível internacional , durante um evento da Reuters. O “ativo altamente especulativo” levou a “algumas atividades repreensíveis”, incluindo lavagem de dinheiro, e quaisquer brechas precisam ser fechadas, de acordo com um relatório da Reuters. Enquanto isso, o regulador favorito da criptografia, Brian Brooks, chefe interino da principal agência reguladora de bancos dos EUA, está encerrando seu mandato esta semana , enquanto o especialista em criptografia da Wall Street e da Comissão de Negociação de Commodities Futures, Gary Gensler, teria sido nomeado presidente da a Comissão de Valores Mobiliários .

Projeções sombrias?

Os analistas estão preocupados com a perspectiva do preço de curto prazo do bitcoin , com vários apontando para o aumento dos fluxos para as bolsas e o arrefecimento da demanda institucional. Cerca de 57.000 BTC mudaram para as bolsas na terça-feira, a maior mudança em um único dia desde a quebra dos mercados em 12 de março de 2020. Um executivo do Goldman Sachs disse que os investidores institucionais são „a chave“ para conter a volatilidade do bitcoin . Nem a queda de 20% do bitcoin na segunda-feira, nem sua volatilidade impediram as „baleias“ de comprarem o mergulho .

The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission has granted its first virtual trading platform.

The platform is reserved for professionals, in accordance with recent SFC changes.

OSL Digital Securities obtained the license.

The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) granted its first digital trading platform license on December 16.

However, SFC Hong Kong did not name the approved company.

Close monitoring

The SFC announced that the platform license allows the platform to serve professional investors. The license comes with a set of restrictions. First, the platform will serve its customers under the close supervision of the SFC. In addition, the regulator will present “tailor-made” requirements. These restrictions are similar to those that the SFC applies to stock brokers as well as automated trading platforms.

The license authorizes the recipient to engage in two types of activities. The first, type 1 activities, allows the company to trade in securities. The second, Type 7, grants the right to engage in automated trading service activities.

The professional investor clause in the restrictions is part of a change of mind on the part of the regulator. As BeInCrypto previously reported, Hong Kong’s crypto scene has so far been largely oriented towards the mainstream market. Hong Kong authorities are starting to tighten access to crypto for investors with less than $ 8 million HDK (around $ 1 million).

Even more supervision in Hong Kong

The SFC also mentioned specifically that it was expanding its regulatory coverage. In November, the Hong Kong government proposed that the SFC regulate all centralized virtual asset exchanges. This expands the capabilities of the SFC. Currently, cryptocurrency exchange platforms are not within the reach of agencies.

BeInCrypto reported on the proposal on November 3. Currently, market operators can exploit a loophole in the definition of “security” to evade SFC control. The changes in Hong Kong authority will not affect the security token market, however.

Link with the digital Yuan?

When Hong Kong officials announced the proposed regulatory changes, speculation quickly escalated. As such, some commentators saw the move as ending the flow of money from mainland China. Others saw it as a way to prepare the ground for the introduction of the digital yuan. In this case, consumer enthusiasts would be pushed towards the digital yuan by removing the competition.

Hong Kong winner revealed

In addition, OSL Digital Securities announced that it had received the SFC license. OSL notes that with this license, it becomes “the first SFC-certified Big-4 digital asset trading platform, provided by a digital asset portfolio and Big-4 audited for institutions and professional investors”.

The exchange will allow professional investors to trade Bitcoin, Ethereum , as well as other „high quality“ coins and certain security token offerings (STOs).

Der Dollar hat gegenüber dem chinesischen Yuan (CNY) seit Mai dieses Jahres erheblich an Wert verloren.

Es ist von 1 USD beim Kauf von 7,2 CNY auf jetzt nur noch 6,5 CNY gefallen, den niedrigsten Stand seit zwei Jahren.

USD / CNY, November 2020

Der Dollar gewann gegenüber dem Yuan nach der Massenabwertung des CNY, die die Kommunistische Partei Chinas (KPCh) durch strenge Kapitalkontrollen bis zur Schließung der Krypto-Börsen aufrechtzuerhalten versuchte, erheblich an Wert.

Während eines Großteils dieses Jahres hat sich der Dollar jedoch massiv abgewertet, mit Billionen, die für Hubschraubergelder und zur Rettung von Unternehmen gedruckt wurden.

Das hat zu einer Stärkung des CNY geführt, weil sie die Pandemie in nur drei Wochen schnell unter Kontrolle gebracht haben, was zu wilden Spekulationen führte.

Amerika kämpft immer noch damit und verursacht einen Rückgang der Dollarstärke auf den niedrigsten Stand seit Mai 2018.

Fallender Dollar, November 2020

Einige der jüngsten Gewinne des Dollars in seinem Stärkeindex sind darauf zurückzuführen, dass der Euro noch stärker gefallen ist, da der Druck dort dazu geführt hat, dass sogar griechische Schulden um negative Zinssätze werben .

Wenn es um CNY geht, kann es weiter zunehmen, weil sie keine Maßnahmen ergreifen, die der Wirtschaft schaden, und dies seit Ende Februar nicht mehr tun.

Wenn es um Bitcoin geht, was für chinesische Bürger durchaus bedeuten kann, ist die Krypto jetzt etwas billiger, da sie in der Regel in Dollar angeboten wird.

Wenn der Wert des Dollars sinkt, kostet Bitcoin dort relativ gesehen weniger in ihrem eigenen Geld.

Die chinesischen Behörden versuchen jedoch, ihre Bürger daran zu hindern, Bitcoin zu kaufen, aber die Chinesen scheinen irgendwie immer einen Weg zu finden, nicht zuletzt, weil Bitcoin das am leichtesten zugängliche Geldvermögen der Welt ist, da es nur Code ist, den Sie können sogar meins selbst.

Ob sich der Dollar weiter abschwächen wird, bleibt abzuwarten, da die Präsidentschaft von Biden voraussichtlich Billionen für den Klimawandel und einige Buy America-Infrastrukturfonds sowie andere Dinge ausgeben wird.

Es könnte also durchaus unter diese 92 fallen, da der Crack-up-Boom weiterhin Schuldengeld druckt, das zu mehr als 100% zurückgezahlt werden muss.

Since the beginning of the year, the Bitcoin price has risen from $ 7,200 to over $ 16,000. This enabled BTC not only to show growth of over 100%, but also to increase its market capitalization considerably. This is currently around 300 billion dollars. From this point of view, a digital currency market capitalization of $ 1 trillion doesn’t seem so unrealistic.

What about the BTC bet that Bitcoin Profit will soon have 10% of the total capitalization of gold?

Bitcoin market cap at $ 1 trillion?

Our article is based on an interview between investor Lyn Alden and Cointelegraph .

Alden, who was still considered a big critic of Bitcoin in 2017, spoke in the interview about her current perspective on the digital asset. Alden said that, in her opinion, 2020 and the macroeconomic factors have gone a long way in strengthening the narrative surrounding BTC.

As a result, Alden also speaks about the network effect of Bitcoin . Not expecting any fundamental changes in monetary policy, she thinks Bitcoin market capitalization will rise to $ 1 trillion in the next few years.

Your opinion and fear of a so-called dilution of the network effect at the time. dilution, Alden has since discarded. At that time, the investor saw the risk that capital could be withdrawn from Bitcoin and overflowed onto other protocols.

I feared watering down. If there is not a network that reaches the critical size, the market capitalization and thus the capital behind it can be distributed over many networks and protocols.

Bitcoin network will be much more mature in 2020

The Bitcoin network is now so strong that it has long since reached critical size. Other factors such as the topic of PayPal can also contribute to the fact that the network size of Bitcoin will increase by three-digit percentages in the next few years.

Afterwards, Alden talks about macroeconomics and the effects of monetary and financial policy. In her opinion, the combination of the increase in the supply of fiat money and historically low interest rates help hard assets like gold and bitcoin benefit.

For this reason, the investor also withdraws from the Bitcoin-Gold comparison.

When Bitcoin market capitalization hits $ 1 trillion, it is just 10% the size of gold. So could Bitcoin be 10% the size of gold? – Yes I think so.

With this very realistic scenario, the Bitcoin market capitalization would be around 3.3 times as high as it is today. As a result, the BTC price would also have to increase by a factor of 3.3 from today’s perspective. That brings us to a price of around USD 50,000 per bitcoin.

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